Premier League relegation battle 2025/26: Odds, table, fixtures and predictions | Football News

West Ham’s chances of relegation to the Championship have doubled in the space of 48 hours after a swing weekend in the battle for the final survival spot.

West Ham were beaten 3-0 by Brentford on Saturday – despite hitting the woodwork on four occasions – before the situation got even worse on Sunday.

Tottenham produced a 2-1 win at fifth-placed Aston Villa to leapfrog the Hammers – and drop Nuno Espirito Santo’s side in the bottom three with three matches remaining.

Meanwhile, Leeds‘ spot in the Premier League next season is all but secure following a 3-0 win over Burnley on Friday Night. They now hold a seven-point lead above the relegation zone with three games to go. Their survival spot could be secured if West Ham lose to Premier League leaders Arsenal on Sunday.

Daniel Farke’s side have leapfrogged Crystal Palace into 14th place on goal difference, after the Eagles lost 3-0 to Bournemouth on Sunday.

Meanwhile, Nottingham Forest could take a huge leap towards survival if they get a result away at Chelsea on Bank Holiday Monday, which is live on Sky Sports with kick-off at 3pm. They start the week three points above the drop zone with a game in hand.

With all four teams fighting to avoid relegation, Sky Sports keeps track of the battle for survival…

Who plays who in the run-in?

The fixture list favours Spurs in the battle for the final relegation spot, especially regarding this weekend.

On Sunday, West Ham play first in the weekend running order – but host Premier League leaders Arsenal at the London Stadium. A win would take them out of the bottom three – but any other result and Spurs could extend their gap over the Hammers.

Spurs then face Leeds on Monday Night Football – and Farke’s side could be mathematically assured of safety by the time they kick off.

See below for the fixtures of all the relegation-threatened sides:

Leeds: Tottenham (A), Brighton (H), West Ham (A)

Crystal Palace: Everton (H), Man City (A), Brentford (A), Arsenal (H)

Nottingham Forest: Chelsea (A), Newcastle (H), Manchester United (A), Bournemouth (H)

Tottenham: Leeds (H), Chelsea (A), Everton (H)

West Ham: Arsenal (H), Newcastle (A), Leeds (H)

The supercomputer’s relegation predictions…

With Wolves and Burnley’s relegation confirmed, only one spot is up for grabs.

After a swing weekend, West Ham’s chances of relegation doubled from 38 per cent to 77 per cent. Spurs, meanwhile, have seen a massive drop in their relegation chances – going from 59 per cent to 21 per cent.

Nottingham Forest have just a 2 per cent chance of getting relegated – but that could change with defeat to Chelsea on Monday.

Leeds and Crystal Palace have minute chances of playing in the Championship. Their percentages sit at 0.11 and 0.03 respectively.

How many points could be needed?

The Opta supercomputer expects 40 points would be enough to secure Premier League survival. In the last nine Premier League seasons, teams finishing on 36 points or more have avoided relegation.

Last season, 26 points would have been enough to stay up as an exceptionally poor bottom three of Leicester, Ipswich and Southampton all made an immediate return to the Championship.

Spurs took advantage of the trio’s weaknesses to focus on winning the Europa League as they finished a dismal 17th on 38 points – 13 points above 18th-placed Leicester.

But that luxury for Tottenham is not there this season as they face the very real possibility of relegation to the second tier of English football for the first time since 1977.

Only three teams have been relegated with 40 points or more in the 20-team Premier League era – Sunderland (1996/97), Bolton (1997/98) and West Ham (2002/03) – the latter holding the record for the team relegated with the most points with 42.

14th: Leeds

Leeds have come into form at the right time – and are on a six-game unbeaten run dating back to the start of March.

Daniel Farke’s side currently sit on 43 points – no Premier League team has ever been relegated with such a high points tally in a 38-game season. The Whites can start planning their top-flight arrangements for next season.

15th: Crystal Palace

Oliver Glasner’s side have entered the bottom six after a 3-0 loss to Bournemouth on Sunday.

Like Leeds, they know that no Premier League team has been relegated with 43 points – and they do have a slight cushion of having four Premier League games left, when most of the relegation rivals have three remaining. However, that game in hand is away at Manchester City.

Palace will know they are not completely safe yet, especially if West Ham and Spurs both pick up wins in the coming weeks. But a Championship spot next season would be highly unlikely.

16th: Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest have a very congested week ahead of them. On Monday, they visit Chelsea in the Premier League before facing Aston Villa in their Europa League semi-final second leg on Thursday.

Vitor Pereira’ may use the three-point cushion they have over the bottom three to rest some key Forest starters at Stamford Bridge.

Forest will be hoping to use the City Ground to muster some survival spirit. Two out of their remaining three games after the Chelsea match are at home.

17th: Tottenham

“It would be the shock of the century. It would be absolutely mind-blowing to think that they could disappear out of this league, but I don’t think they will.”

Even if Gary Neville is confident the Premier League ever-presents will not be relegated, it is still a real possibility.

Back-to-back league wins have lifted Spurs up above the danger zone into 17th. But it can all change in an instant.

18th: West Ham

West Ham looked like they were set to pull off a great escape. They looked doomed at the start of the year, but a rise in form – coupled with lots of Spurs misery – gave them a way out.

A run of seven points from a possible nine was ended with a damning 3-0 loss to Brentford, which ended up putting them back in trouble.

All roads point towards their final day of the season at home to a soon-to-be-safe Leeds as potentially crucial for West Ham’s survival hopes. But can they get safe before then?

19th: Burnley

Burnley’s return to the Championship was confirmed via a 1-0 defeat to Manchester City in late April.

Scott Parker left Turf Moor a few days later, with the Clarets’ focus now turning to avoiding dropping to last place/.

20th: Wolves

Wolves’ relegation to the Championship was confirmed on April 20 after West Ham picked up a draw at Crystal Palace.

Rob Edwards has remained in charge for now, but they could still finish 19th ahead of Burnley.